By The Numbers: Indiana

From the NCAA statistics:

NCAA Stats Comparison
Category:	Penn St.	Indiana
Rushing	42	96
Passing Offense	44	41
Total Offense	42	76
Scoring Offense	52	86
Rushing Defense	14	81
Turnovers Gained	47	5
Passes Had Intercepted	45	96
Pass Defense	9	103
Net Punting	115	93
Punt Returns	107	55
Kickoff Returns	114	18
Turnover Margin	40	18
Fumbles Recovered	61	14
Passes Intercepted	40	7
Fumbles Lost	12	12
Turnovers Lost	25	64
Passing Efficiency	33	73
Pass Efficiency Defense	11	91
Total Defense	8	98
Scoring Defense	3	85
Fewest Penalties Per Game	5	64
Fewest Yards Penalized Per Game	4	58
Punt Return Yardage Defense	117	41
Kickoff Return Yardage Defense	63	86
Offense Third-down Efficiency	12	80
Offense Fourth-down Efficiency	53	53
Defense Third-down Efficiency	13	112
Defense Fourth-down Efficiency	10	120
Tackles for Loss	2	49
Offense Tackles for Loss	12	17
Pass Sacks	8	52
Pass Sacks Allowed	23	17
Time of Possession	17	68
First Downs	44	99
First Downs Allowed	8	111
Red Zone Efficiency	28	88
Red Zone Efficiency - Defense	1	22
Average NCAA Rank:	34.7	63.49
Weighted Avg. Rank:	34.42	78.42

There is simply no reason the score should be close in this game. It's at home--SENIOR DAY. Coming off a tough, physical loss, the team has a lot to prove (although beating the Hoosiers really won't prove anything--but a loss is another story!)

Yet, the Hoosiers were in some games into the fourth quarter--Iowa, THEM, Wisconsin, and Northwestern. Defense is obviously their weak spot, but the offensive numbers aren't exactly worth bragging about either. They do have some advantage in special teams--what teams haven't been better than PSU!--but I doubt special teams will impact this game like it did the Iowa or OSU games.

That said, I don't think we cover the 21.5 point spread. I think our confidence is a bit shaken and Indiana will be playing like there's no tomorrow. The Hoosiers must win both remaining games (PSU and Purdue) to end up 6-6 and be bowl eligible.