Thursday, November 12, 2009

By The Numbers: Indiana

From the NCAA statistics:

NCAA Stats Comparison
Category:Penn St.Indiana
Passing Offense4441
Total Offense4276
Scoring Offense5286
Rushing Defense1481
Turnovers Gained475
Passes Had Intercepted4596
Pass Defense9103
Net Punting11593
Punt Returns10755
Kickoff Returns11418
Turnover Margin4018
Fumbles Recovered6114
Passes Intercepted407
Fumbles Lost1212
Turnovers Lost2564
Passing Efficiency3373
Pass Efficiency Defense1191
Total Defense898
Scoring Defense385
Fewest Penalties Per Game564
Fewest Yards Penalized Per Game458
Punt Return Yardage Defense11741
Kickoff Return Yardage Defense6386
Offense Third-down Efficiency1280
Offense Fourth-down Efficiency5353
Defense Third-down Efficiency13112
Defense Fourth-down Efficiency10120
Tackles for Loss249
Offense Tackles for Loss1217
Pass Sacks852
Pass Sacks Allowed2317
Time of Possession1768
First Downs4499
First Downs Allowed8111
Red Zone Efficiency2888
Red Zone Efficiency - Defense122
Average NCAA Rank:34.763.49
Weighted Avg. Rank:34.4278.42

There is simply no reason the score should be close in this game. It's at home--SENIOR DAY. Coming off a tough, physical loss, the team has a lot to prove (although beating the Hoosiers really won't prove anything--but a loss is another story!)

Yet, the Hoosiers were in some games into the fourth quarter--Iowa, THEM, Wisconsin, and Northwestern. Defense is obviously their weak spot, but the offensive numbers aren't exactly worth bragging about either. They do have some advantage in special teams--what teams haven't been better than PSU!--but I doubt special teams will impact this game like it did the Iowa or OSU games.

That said, I don't think we cover the 21.5 point spread. I think our confidence is a bit shaken and Indiana will be playing like there's no tomorrow. The Hoosiers must win both remaining games (PSU and Purdue) to end up 6-6 and be bowl eligible.

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