Friday, September 23, 2011

Statistically Speaking: EMU Edition

It has been said that there are three kinds of lies:  lies, damned lies and statistics.

Comparing statistics at this point is like comparing apples and baseballs.  Penn State has faced the likes of Alabama and Temple.  Yes--Temple.  EMU has faced THEM and Alabama State, neither of which compares equally with Alabama.  And Temple could probably beat Howard and Alabama State worse than Eastern Michigan did.

Ordinarily, I don't start publishing these stats until we hit Big Ten season, but when I looked at them this past week, I did a double take.

Statistically speaking, EMU is comparable to Penn State, the difference in competition notwithstanding.

NCAA Stats Comparison
Passing Offense106118
Total Offense10383
Scoring Offense90100
Rushing Defense4275
Turnovers Gained3164
Passes Had Intercepted4972
Pass Defense711
Net Punting10870
Punt Returns5935
Kickoff Returns5362
Turnover Margin3277
Fumbles Recovered5353
Passes Intercepted1860
Fumbles Lost3535
Turnovers Lost4465
Passing Efficiency115112
Pass Efficiency Defense1131
Total Defense929
Scoring Defense2529
Fewest Penalties Per Game4197
Fewest Yards Penalized Per Game 44113
Punt Return Yardage Defense10429
Kickoff Return Yardage Defense911
Offense Third-down Efficiency8783
Offense Fourth-down Efficiency1351
Defense Third-down Efficiency3689
Defense Fourth-down Efficiency481
Tackles for Loss765
Offense Tackles for Loss1173
Pass Sacks7616
Pass Sacks Allowed4444
Time of Possession6664
First Downs8997
First Downs Allowed1447
Red Zone Efficiency7581
Red Zone Efficiency - Defense10664
Average NCAA Rank:56.1457.89
Weighted Avg. Rank:59.561.75

They are better than we are offensively so far.  Of course, so are 102 other teams.  But defensively, we don't see the statistical edge that I expected.  In terms of pass defense and scoring defense, the difference is insignificant.

EMU appears to be better special teams-wise.

Seriously?  Three games into the season and we are statistically equal with Eastern Michigan.

Penn State is a 29 point favorite over the Eagles.  Hope we don't need any last second heroics or goal line stands to pull this one out.

No comments: