|NCAA Stats Comparison|
|Passes Had Intercepted||52||2|
|Pass Efficiency Defense||8||87|
|Fewest Penalties Per Game||35||17|
|Fewest Yards Penalized Per Game||33||10|
|Punt Return Yardage Defense||75||33|
|Kickoff Return Yardage Defense||58||101|
|Offense Third-down Efficiency||72||45|
|Offense Fourth-down Efficiency||7||22|
|Defense Third-down Efficiency||24||104|
|Defense Fourth-down Efficiency||116||77|
|Tackles for Loss||13||83|
|Offense Tackles for Loss||11||3|
|Pass Sacks Allowed||20||37|
|Time of Possession||50||63|
|First Downs Allowed||8||89|
|Red Zone Efficiency||95||12|
|Red Zone Efficiency - Defense||115||15|
|Average NCAA Rank:||52.59||44.59|
|Weighted Avg. Rank:||49.75||47.17|
Despite being a 4-point underdog, the Hawkeyes are slightly better than PSU with probably a slightly worse schedule, since they haven't faced a team like Alabama, and they lost to unranked Iowa State. They are a better passing team, but our pass defense probably negates that advantage.
Defensively, the Hawkeyes had better hope that we continue to put the ball on the ground or throw interceptions. This is shaping up to be a low scoring affair, but if the Lions can stop shooting themselves in the paws and figure out how to score points in the red zone, this game might not be that close.
Am I drinking the Kool Aid again? You bet. Seriously--this Hawkeye team is not as good as the team that has given us fits recently. We may actually have more talent, particularly defensively--than Iowa. But Ferentz seems to have our number, so until I actually see the win, I'm not betting anything on this game.
Let's revisit my preseason prediction:
Prediction: For the sake of my sanity and all that is holy, PENN STATE MUST WIN THIS GAME. This Iowa team will probably be no weaker in the near future than they are this season. We must strike while the oven is hot and pop the corn while we can. The game will be close because for the life of me, there isn't enough Kool Aid in the world to make me think we could defeat these guys. I know how the Buffalo Bills feel about Super Bowls. It defies all explanation. I'd rather have corn stuck in my teeth for the next year than lose another game to Iowa.
Hmm. Not very confident was I? Still am not. Not much has changed in old Happy Valley. But if the oddsmakers think we got a chance, then I can Haz Win.
Penn State 17-Iowa 9.
You might as well mark it down because there is no way in hell I could be right on this. You can laugh about it afterwards. It's okay. I'm used to it.