Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Pee-king Ahead to Indiana

Penn State travels to DC to face Indiana at Fed Ex Stadium.  The Hoosiers sold out their home game to make some bucks.  I didn't feel like previewing this game after the second half collapse this past weekend.  So here we go.

Indiana to date:

W Towson 51-17
W @ Western Kentucky 38-21
W Akron 35-20
L  THEM 42-35
L  @ OSU 38-10
W Arkansas State 36-34
L @ Illinois 43-13
L Northwestern 20-17
L Iowa 18-13
L @ Wisconsin 83-20

The thing that really jumps out to me is . . . they played AT Western Kentucky?  Holy Crap!  Penn State might play Coastal Carolina, but PSU will never play AT Coastal Carolina.

Anyway, at 4-6, the Hoosiers are a dangerous opponent.  Granted, they beat Arkansas State by 2, but they almost beat Iowa.  They beat Akron 35-20, but Akron has not won a game all season and Temple beat the Zips 30-0.  The Hoosiers hung in comparably with Illinois compared to Penn State, and Ohio State for that matter.

So which Hoosier team shows up Saturday?  The one that almost defeated the Hawkeyes, or the one that got pwned by the Badgers?

Penn State is already bowl eligible.  Indiana must beat both Penn State and Purdue to get six wins.  Indiana has never beaten Penn State in football.

The line is currently is currently 10, with the Lions favored of course.

Injury-wise, Anthony Fera will be out (appendix) and I wonder if we will see Silas Redd (bladder.)  Sean Stanley also has a bladder problem.  Hey!  We put the Pee in Party.  Let's Go PEE ess you.

McGloin will start, but has his confidence been shaken?  Does he still have IT?  Will he have to urinate in public too?

Kick-off is at noon.  Coverage is on the Big Ten Network.

Here's the stats comparison from the NCAA site:

NCAA Stats Comparison
Category:Penn St.Indiana
Passing Offense6616
Total Offense7453
Scoring Offense8962
Rushing Defense8392
Turnovers Gained106106
Passes Had Intercepted7373
Pass Defense1981
Net Punting1198
Punt Returns6749
Kickoff Returns2637
Turnover Margin7691
Fumbles Recovered10792
Passes Intercepted7586
Fumbles Lost721
Turnovers Lost3152
Passing Efficiency8562
Pass Efficiency Defense81114
Total Defense5289
Scoring Defense38100
Fewest Penalties Per Game210
Fewest Yards Penalized Per Game127
Punt Return Yardage Defense4928
Kickoff Return Yardage Defense18106
Offense Third-down Efficiency5528
Offense Fourth-down Efficiency7780
Defense Third-down Efficiency897
Defense Fourth-down Efficiency3437
Tackles for Loss8198
Offense Tackles for Loss548
Pass Sacks9898
Pass Sacks Allowed1212
Time of Possession4729
First Downs7335
First Downs Allowed3153
Red Zone Efficiency9241
Red Zone Efficiency - Defense113113
Average NCAA Rank:54.9565.46
Weighted Avg. Rank:62.0880.5

The average NCAA rank is simply the average of all categories.  The weighted average gives more weight to certain categories (like total defense/offense) and less weight to other categories (first downs allowed or penalties.) 

Indiana has a slight edge in offense, but that would appear to be offset by Penn State's better defense.  This is a game Penn State should win, but Indiana can score points and if our offense sputters, things could get ugly.  I still predict a Penn State win.

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