Sunday, September 25, 2011

Go Figure

The latest AP and USA Today Polls are out:



I'm not sure I've ever been able to figure these out.  For instance, F$U is the only two loss team.  Granted those losses were to Oklahoma and Clemson, but would Penn State be ranked with two losses to those same teams?  How many teams would still be ranked with two losses?  Apparently, there are none.

And then there's Texas A & M and Oklahoma State, who were eighth (TAM) and sixth or seventh (Okie State) depending on the poll.  Okie State won by one point.  How many points do you expect a 7th ranked team to beat an 8th ranked team?  Seriously.  Why did either of these teams move when the result is pretty much how you expected it to be?  The aggies couldn't have made this game any closer without winning it.  Yet, they drop in the polls.

Here are my computer rankings based on each teams win/loss record, strength of schedule and actual NCAA average rankings:



TASCOMPUTER RANKS
1Alabama92.9140
2Oklahoma88.5530
3Wisconsin88.0940
4Stanford87.8230
5Boise St.85.6230
6South Fla.85.5840
7LSU85.5340
8Virginia Tech84.6540
9Florida84.4740
10Georgia Tech84.3740
11Michigan82.7540
12Baylor82.2830
13Texas81.7730
14Oklahoma St.81.440
15Illinois81.440
16Texas Tech81.3130
17Clemson80.7940
18Nebraska80.540
19Kansas St.79.3730
20Houston78.9340
21South Carolina76.4940
22Iowa St.74.5930
23Air Force71.4721
24Arkansas69.131
25Temple69.0431

Laugh if you will at Temple coming in at #25, but the Owls are ranked THIRD in the nation in overall NCAA statistics (all categories) and 8th if you weight critical categories like total defense and total offense heavier than catgeories like fewest penalties or most fumbles.  Their loss to Penn State drops them from 3rd to 25th.  For what it's worth, Penn State is statistically 41st in the country out of 120 teams, and 40th in the TAS Computer rankings.

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